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Decision Analysis for Urban Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty: ...

SCHOOL OF POLICY, PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT / DANIEL J. EPSTEIN DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRIAL AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING JOINT SEMINAR"Decision Analysis for Urban Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty: The Case of Phoenix, Arizona, under Possible Permanent Drought and Global Climate Change"Dr. Craig W. KirkwoodW. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State UniversityABSTRACT: Urban development requires water. Phoenix, Arizona, a rapidly growing large desert city, illustrates the complexity of urban water resources planning when there is substantial uncertainty about future water supplies. This presentation reviews research on decision analysis approaches to policy development for this risky planning situation, including such complexities as multiple stakeholders, competing objectives with difficult tradeoffs, organizational constraints, and uncertainty about future climate and water availability. This research is part of the Decision Center for a Desert City, with funding from the National Science Foundation's human and social dynamics initiative in decision making under uncertainty related to global climate change.Dr. Kirkwood has published extensively on quantitative approaches to decision making, including the book Strategic Decision Making and articles on both theory and applications. He is a Fellow of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS), and he has received the Frank P. Ramsey Medal of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society for lifetime achievement, the INFORMS George E. Kimball Medal for distinguished service, and both the Decision Analysis Society Publication and Practice Awards. He has served on NSF and Department of Energy expert panels. He has held numerous leadership positions, including President of the Decision Analysis Society, Treasurer of INFORMS, and Department Chair and Acting Dean at Arizona State University. He has degrees in electrical engineering and operations research from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and has also served on the faculties of the University of Colorado and the University of Michigan.MONDAY, DECEMBER 8, 2008, RALPH & GOLDY LEWIS HALL (RGL) ROOM 308, 11:30 AM – 12:30 PM

Location: Ralph And Goldy Lewis Hall (RGL) - 308

Audiences: Everyone Is Invited

Contact: Georgia Lum